12 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇺🇦Ruslan Andrishak
ELO 1573
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Andrishak
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Andrishak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.