12 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1283
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Urezchenko
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1313
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Urezchenko stays under total as favourite 64% (39)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.