12 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1479
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sorochan
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1444
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Sorochan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (23)
Fair odds · Sorochan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.