12 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1449
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mykhalchenko
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1404
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Mykhalchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)