12 Jul · 16:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇺🇦Josef Chalupa
ELO 1618
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chalupa
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 65% (80)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)