12 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇺🇦Ruslan Andrishak
ELO 1573
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Andrishak
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1554
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Andrishak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.