12 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1529
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.