12 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1398
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sorochan
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1479
FormLLLLL
41%
59%
🌟Sorochan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (23)
Fair odds · Sorochan
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H25-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-22)