12 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1442
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maslovskyi
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1435
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.