12 Jul · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IV
🇺🇦Ihor Vasylyshyn
ELO 1540
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vasylyshyn
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1517
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 62% (106)
Fair odds · Vasylyshyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.