12 Jul · 11:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1487
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Cmil
PF
🇺🇦Petr Fiser
ELO 1393
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fiser🌟Fiser covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)