12 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1520
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Andrishak
RA
🇺🇦Ruslan Andrishak
ELO 1573
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 68% (87)
Fair odds · Andrishak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)