12 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1442
FormWWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Matviichuk
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1242
FormWWLLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
25%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)