12 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1398
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Zvolynskyi
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1508
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H39-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-19)