12 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1520
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1561
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 68% (87)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~68 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H10-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.