12 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1409
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Torhachov
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1486
FormLLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H70-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-47)