12 Jul · 12:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1561
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sydorchuk
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1520
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Sydorchuk stays under total as favourite 69% (52)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H26-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.