12 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hura
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1491
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Hura rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (59)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~82 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H23-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)