12 Jul · 11:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1453
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1512
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)