12 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1517
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 64% (67)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)