12 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1919
FormWLWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Baday
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1670
FormLLWWL
74%
26%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 64% (113)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+249
H2H36-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-5)