12 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1561
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sydorchuk
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Sydorchuk stays under total as favourite 69% (52)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.