12 Jul · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1515
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lazebny
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1404
FormLWWLW
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (115)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)