12 Jul · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1386
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Masko
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1587
FormWLWLL
30%
70%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 62% (82)
Fair odds · Masko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H101-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (101-51)