12 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shmyndra
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1500
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Shmyndra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (30)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)