12 Jul · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1499
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Regush
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1543
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivasiv🌟Regush rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H7-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)