12 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1595
FormWWLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kovshun
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1399
FormLLWLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)