12 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1578
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hanke
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1506
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 71% (34)
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)