12 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1508
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zvolynskyi
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1444
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Sveshnykov rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (17)
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)