12 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Patalakha
ELO 1470
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1517
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Patalakha stays under total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)