12 Jul · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1515
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lazebny
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (115)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H31-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-15)