12 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Vitalii Husiev
ELO 1379
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sydorenko
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1418
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sydorenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H38-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.