12 Jul · 09:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jnr
JJ
🇺🇦Jan Simecek Jnr
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Taranko
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)