12 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1522
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kotrbacek
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)