12 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1561
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sydorchuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1554
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Sydorchuk stays under total as favourite 69% (52)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H18-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.