12 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1511
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bielokon
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1505
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hainiuk🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (44)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H40-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.