12 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1554
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1561
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 67% (45)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~70 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H11-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.