12 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1499
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivasiv
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1483
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (72)
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H46-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.