12 Jul · 16:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1449
FormWLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Mykhalchenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1311
FormLWLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Mykhalchenko
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)