12 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1517
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Varlamov
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1439
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Varlamov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)