12 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AO
🇺🇦Andrii Obishchenko
ELO 1589
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Obishchenko
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
🌟Obishchenko stays under total as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Obishchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)