13 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1450
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Treschetka
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1409
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.