13 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Salivonchyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1440
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (44)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H34-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-30)