13 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vivatenko
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1540
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 74% (38)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H14-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.