13 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1751
FormLWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Lushchyk
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
76%
24%
🌟Lushchyk stays under total as favourite 63% (65)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+265
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)