13 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1442
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klymenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H17-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.