13 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1482
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1709
FormLWWLL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+227
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)