13 Jul · 07:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1537
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 74% (38)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.