13 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Regush
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1505
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi🌟Regush rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (48)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)