13 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1466
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1476
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivasiv🌟Ivasiv covers set handicap as underdog 65% (77)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H45-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.